The reason why I say that is the money supply is up, up, and up. You know, with the efforts by these central banks to lower interest rates they’re going to be printing like crazy.”
私が皆に推奨する理由はマネーサプライが up, up and up 状態だからだ。御存知の通り、どの中央銀行も金利を下げようとしておりまた常軌を逸した紙幣印刷をしようとしている。
[Jerome Powell] is trying to pretend it’s because of concerns
about the overseas economy. It is really the US economy that is driving
the Fed. That’s why this is just the first step on the road
back to zero. And you know, it was a mistake when the Fed went back to
zero the last time; it’s going to be an even bigger mistake when they do
it next time. And they’re also going to go back to quantitative easing.
You know, they announced yesterday the end of quantitative tightening,
but the next step is to go back to QE, and QE 4 is going to be bigger than QE 1, 2 and 3 combined.”
The Fed isn’t alone on the path toward more monetary stimulus. In an interview with the Wall Street Journal,
Finnish central bank governor Olli Rehn raised the prospect of new
easing measures from the European Central Bank. He said, “It’s important
that we come up with a significant and impactful policy package in
September. When you’re working with financial markets, it’s often better
to overshoot than undershoot, and better to have a very strong package
of policy measures than to tinker.”
さらなる金融刺激策に向かっているのはFEDだけではない。Wall Street Jounalのインタビューに答えて、フィンランドの中央銀行総裁Olli RehnはECBにおける新たな緩和可能性が高まっていると答えた。更に彼はこう言う、「大切なことだが、我々はインパクトの在る政策パッケージを９月に準備している。金融市場で働いているならわかるだろうが、アンダーシュートよりもオーバーシュートのほうが望ましい、そして想像を超えた強い政策パッケージが望ましい。」
During the Bloomberg interview, Mobius also addressed the proliferation of cryptocurrencies. He said he believes the rise of bitcoin and other cryptos will actually be good for gold.
You have all these currencies, new currencies coming into play. I
call them ‘psycho currencies,’ because it’s a matter of faith whether
you believe in Bitcoin or any of the other cyber-currencies. I
think with the rise of that, there’s going to be a demand for real, hard
assets, and that includes gold because gold can play a role not only as
an asset but also as a currency.”
Mobius said investors should have at least 10% of their portfolio in gold.
Mobiusは投資家に少なくともポートフォリオの１０％をゴールドにするべきだと主張した。
“I’m talking about physical gold,” he said.
彼が言うには「私が話しているのは現物ゴールドだ」ということだ。
Peter Schiff has been advising this for a long time. Currently, only
about 1% of the world’s investable capital is in gold. Peter has said
it would be wise to make the move sooner rather than later.
Peter Schiffは長年こういうふうにアドバイスしてきた。現在のところ世界の投資資金の内ゴールドの占める割合は１％程度でしかない。Peterは先延ばしせずにすぐに行動することが賢明だという。
If the idea goes mainstream, and all investors go to a 10%
gold allocation, the price will skyrocket. Investors need to move
quickly to get ahead of the crowd.”
The US Consumer Just Hit A Brick Wall: Here's Why In 15 Charts by Tyler Durden Tue, 03/05/2019 - 17:05 When it comes to the growth dynamo behind the global economy, nobody can match the US consumer - not even China: accounting for trillions in annual spending, the US consumer, who represents roughly 70% of US GDP, is also responsible for roughly 17% of global GDP, slightly ahead of the entire country of China. 世界経済の成長エンジンを議論する時、米国消費以上のものはないーー中国ではない：年間トリリオンドルを米国消費者は使っている、これが米国GDPの７０％、そして世界GDPの１７％を占める、中国全GDPよりも大きい。 However, as recent economic data has shown, the future of the US consumer is suddenly looking ominously cloudy, for two big reasons: rising interest rates, which as Deutsche Bank notes are "beginning to bite" as observed in the number of working hours in sector selling big ticket items... しかしながら最近の経済デ...
最後の二段落だけ訳しておきます。 Stock Euphoria Stunts Gold Adam Hamilton April 19, 2019 3257 Words The great euphoria emanating from these near-record-high stock markets is breathtaking. Traders are again convinced stocks do nothing but rally indefinitely. That everything-is-awesome mindset has stunted gold’s latest upleg, since there’s no perceived need for prudently diversifying stock-heavy portfolios. But that psychology can change fast, as we saw a half-year ago. Gold investment roars back as stocks roll over. The word “euphoria” is widely misunderstood, often confused with “mania”. The latter is when stocks rocket vertically in blowoff tops, and is defined as “an excessively intense enthusiasm, interest, or desire”. The US stock markets certainly aren’t in a mania. At its latest high last Friday, the flagship US S&P 500 broad-market s...
