Fall armyworms (Spodoptera frugiperda) are a destructive garden pest that can destroy a variety of crops as well as grasses. ツマジロクサヨトウは農場ペストと呼ばれるほどに壊滅被害をもたらす、牧草とともに各種穀物を壊滅状態にする。
Chinese officials are worried about prevention and control measures of the pest might be failing, which could lead to crop losses this year.
Beijing warned fall armyworms could damage hundreds, if not thousands
of hectares of crops, leading to possible food security issues for the
country.
To counter the pest, China has requested farmers in the 21 provinces to use government-approved pesticides.
The "heart-devouring worm" - as locals call it - has spread
almost 1,900 miles north since migrating from neighboring Myanmar
earlier this year, now threatens 21 provinces and regions in China and
could heavily impact the country's grain output. 当地で「heart-devouring worm」と呼ばれるこの虫が、今年はじめに隣国ミャンマーから飛来しすでに1.900マイル北方まで広がった、今や中国の21の省で驚異となり、穀物収穫に深刻な被害が予想される。
In Yunnan, a province in southwestern China, the pest has already
destroyed 86,000 hectares of corn, sugarcane, sorghum, and ginger crops.
Fall armyworm started to spread through Africa and Asia in 2016,
these pests, which are moths, fly 60 miles per night, is very
challenging for farmers and governments to exterminate.
The pests have strained small farmers, who produce at least 90% of the country's crop.
このペストのために小規模農家に緊張が走っている、中国では穀物の90%は小規模農家が生産している。
In hard-hit Yunnan, the local government has installed 3,500
monitoring sites at farms to observe the pests and agriculture
conditions, the provincial agriculture bureau wrote to Reuters via
email.
Sugarcane farmer Yan in Mengkang village said the only answer to the fall armyworm disaster is to spray crops with pesticide.
Mengkang村のトウキビ農家 Yan はこう言う、ツマジロクサヨトウの災害に対する唯一の措置は殺虫剤を巻くことだ。
"You have to keep spraying chemicals. If you don't kill the worm, you will end up penniless," he said.
「たとえ害虫が死ななくとも、殺虫剤を巻き続けなければならない、結局一文無しになる、」と彼は言う。
Some farmers have had a slow response to act, thus jeopardizing their crop yields during harvest time.
対応の遅い農家もあり、収穫期の収量は危機にさらされている。
Hu Gao, a professor of insect ecology at Nanjing Agricultural
University, said the pests have ruined crops in the country's south, but
the outlook for corn production in the north wasn't affected as much.
南京農業大学の昆虫生態学教授 Hu Gaoが言うには、このペストは南部の穀物を壊滅状態にした、しかし北部のトウモロコシにはそれほど影響を受けていない。
As the destructive pest spread to agriculture provinces, this
could lead Beijing to purchase even more grains from Latin American
countries, like Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay. 農業地域へのこの壊滅的ペスト蔓延で、北京政府はさらなる穀物を南米諸国から輸入することになるだろう、ブラジル、アルゼンチン、パラグアイ等だ。
As of last week, China halted all agriculture purchases with the US
and continued ramping up agriculture imports from Latin America and the
rest of the world. The halt in purchases come in response to the Trump
administration's announcement 10% tariff on an additional $300 billion
of Chines imports earlier this month.
China is also dealing with an unprecedented outbreak of African swine
fever called “pig Ebola,” is ravaging the country's pig industry
through 2H19.
About a quarter of the country’s pig herd has been wiped out because of the disease.
中国はまた前代未聞のアフリカ豚コレラ大流行に見舞われている、「豚エボラ」とも呼ばれるこの病気のために養豚業は2019H2に荒廃するだろう。すでに全用途運数の1/4が殺処分された。
Due to trade war disputes, China slapped American pork with 62% tariffs. China's agriculture complex is being hit with several disasters,
that if it wasn't for the trade war, American farmers would be taking
full advantage of. But you never know, China could get so desperate,
because the last thing they need with Hong Kong spiraling out of control
is food inflation.
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう Albert Edwards: This Was The Final Recessionary Shoe, And It Has Now Fallen by Tyler Durden Thu, 06/27/2019 - 12:45 Exactly three months ago, in late March, the 3 month-10 year spread inverted for the first time since 2007... ちょうど3か月前の3月遅くのことだ、3M10Yスプレッドが2007年以来初めて反転した・・・・ ... an event which sparked near-panic in the market as historically curve inversion has preceded the last 7 recessions. ・・・市場は準混乱状態になった、というのも歴史的に見てイールドカーブ反転が過去7回の景気後退の前兆となっているからだ。 However, while the inversion was certainly a memorable event, the question on everyone's lips is how do risk assets perform once the curve flattens and/or inverts. According to backtests from Goldman, since the mid-1980s, significant stock drawdowns (i.e. market crashes) began only when term slope started steepening after being inverted. ...
Powell Keeps The Bond Bull Kicking Written by Lance Roberts | Mar, 21, 2019 In a widely expected outcome, the Federal Reserve announced no change to the Fed funds rate but did leave open the possibility of a rate hike next year. Also, they committed to stopping “Quantitative Tightening (or Q.T.)” by the end of September. 多くの人が予想したとおり、FEDはFFR変更をしないだけでなく来年も不明とした。さらには、QTを9月末に終えると約束した。 The key language from yesterday’s announcement was: 昨日の発表の重要な部分はこういう具合だ: “ Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the labor market remains strong but that growth of economic activity has slowed from its solid rate in the fourth quarter . Payroll employment was little changed in February, but job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. 「1月のFOMC以来の情報を分析すると、労働市場は強いがQ4に比べると経済成長は鈍化している。2月の雇用環境にほとんど変化がなかった、ここ数ヶ月確実に雇用は増えている、そして失業率は低いままだ。 Recent indicators point to s...
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう "On The Precipice" by Tyler Durden Mon, 06/24/2019 - 14:30 Authored by Kevin Ludolph via Crescat Capital, Dear Investors: The US stock market is retesting its all-time highs at record valuations yet again. We strongly believe it is poised to fail. The problem for bullish late-cycle momentum investors trying to play a breakout to new highs here is the oncoming freight train of deteriorating macro-economic conditions. 米国株式は記録的バリエーションのもとで再度過去最高を試している。私どもはこれが失敗すると強く信じている。景気拡大終盤で強気のモメンタム投資家が新高値を試そうとしていることの問題は、マクロ経済条件の悪化にある。 US corporate profit growth, year-over-year, for the S&P 500 already fully evaporated in the first quarter of 2019 and is heading toward outright decline for the full year based on earnings estimate revision trends. Note the alligator jaws divergence in the chart be...