Initial jobless claims keep grinding lower and lower.
新規失業保険申請はどんどん少なくなる。
The last time this few Americans sought the help of government after
losing a job was in November 1969. Initial Jobless Claims tumbled
another 5K from the prior week's revised 197K to just 192K: the second consecutive sub-200K print in 50 years, and the lowest print since September 1969. 米国人が失業時に政府の助けをここまで求めなかったのは１９６９年１１月以来のことだ。新規失業保険申請は前週比で５K減り、わずか１９２Kとなった：二週連続で２００Kを切ったのは５０年ぶりのことだ、そして１９６９年９月以来の少なさだ。
The YTD change in the absolute number of claims is now the best in at least the past decade.
YTDで絶対値変化を見るとここ１０年で最良のものだ。
While the number will probably not come as a big surprise in light of the recent sharp rebound in payrolls, the
Fed will be hard pressed to explain why it is pausing its rate hikes at
a time when the fewest number of Americans are filing for jobless
benefits in half a century. この良い数値は最近の雇用統計の急改善によるものではないだろうと思われ、半世紀ぶりに新規失業保険申請が少ない中でFEDはどうして金利引き上げを中断するのかと詰問されるだろう。
For some context, the last time claims were this low:
前回ここまで新規失業保険申請が少なかった当時を振り返すとこういう時代だった：
The Beatles' "Abbey Road" Album hit #1
ビートルズの「アビィロード」が全米チットチャート１位となった
Wendy's Hamburgers, American fast food restaurant chains founded by Dave Thomas opens in Columbus, Ohio
Dave Thomasが創業したWendy's Mambergersチェーンが一号店をオハイオ週コロンバスで開店した。
Alcatraz Island off SF, is seized by militant Native Americans
サンフランシスコのAlcatraz Islandが武装ネイティブアメリカンに占拠された
US performs nuclear test at Nevada Test Site
米国政府がネバダ州で核実験を行った
USSR performs nuclear test at Eastern Kazakh/Semipalitinsk USSR
最後の２段落だけ訳をいれました。 Big Silver-Stock Potential Adam Hamilton February 7, 2020 2689 Words The silver miners’ stocks are looking interesting. While they really lagged silver’s surge on gold’s bull-market-breakout rally last summer, their upleg since remains intact. Gold stocks’ own upleg peaked in early September. And silver itself remains wildly undervalued relative to gold, overdue to mean revert dramatically higher. When that happens during gold’s next upleg, the silver stocks have big potential to soar. Like the global silver market is vastly smaller than gold’s, silver stocks are a proportionally-little fraction of the precious-metals miners. As a small subset of a usually-ignored contrarian sector, the silver stocks often languish in obscurity. For decades there wasn’t even a silver-stock index, making sector analysis difficult. ...
Gold Mid-Tiers’ Q4’19 Fundamentals Adam Hamilton March 20, 2020 3250 Words The mid-tier gold miners’ stocks have been annihilated with COVID-19 fears infecting traders’ sentiment. They crashed with gold getting hammered on extreme gold-futures selling! With blood in the streets, the buy-low opportunities are phenomenal. The fundamentally-superior mid-tier gold miners have epic upside potential during gold’s next upleg. This key sector just reported outstanding Q4’19 results on higher gold. The sheer carnage in gold-stock-land has been jaw-dropping! In late February, the gold-stock sector per its leading benchmark GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF edged up to a 3.5-year high slightly above early September’s. That was fueled by gold’s $1600 breakout surge on COVID-19 fears. Yet as I warned in an essay the trading day before GDX’s pe...
最後の２段落だけ訳をいれておきます。 この記事は先週水曜締め切りで金曜に発行されたものです。 Gold Stocks’ Spring Rally 5 Adam Hamilton February 28, 2020 3225 Words Before their recent surge on gold regaining $1600, the gold stocks spent much of the past half-year or so largely drifting sideways to lower. That high consolidation really weighed on sentiment, with greed giving way to apathy. This sector normally tends to suffer a seasonal slump into mid-March, paving the way for gold stocks’ spring rally. That’s their second-strongest seasonal surge of the year running into early June. Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year. While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals. We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally c...
最後の２段落に訳を入れました。 Gold Investment Soaring! Adam Hamilton April 10, 2020 3478 Words Gold investment demand is soaring in the wake of the COVID-19 stock panic! Investors are rushing back into gold to diversify after seeing mind-boggling central-bank money printing and government spending. Since that epic monetary inflation won’t be unwound, and investors were radically underinvested in gold before the panic, this trend is likely to persist for years. It will catapult gold and its miners’ stocks far higher. The most comprehensive look into global gold investment demand is published quarterly by the World Gold Council. Its experts have been deeply studying the gold markets for decades, which shows in their outstanding Gold Demand Trends reports. These must-read analyses are released about a month after calendar quarters end. But while that d...
最後の２段落だけ訳を入れておきます。 Gold-Stock Bull Breakout! Adam Hamilton April 24, 2020 2845 Words The gold miners’ stocks surged to a major bull-market breakout this week! Powering decisively above their years-old secular resistance is a hugely-important technical event. It proves this gold-stock bull is alive and well, greatly improves sentiment, and puts this high-flying sector on countless more traders’ radars. New bull highs fuel self-feeding bullish psychology, as speculators and investors love chasing winners. The gold miners’ stocks are essentially leveraged plays on gold, since its price overwhelmingly drives their earnings and thus ultimately stock prices. So gold-stock bulls and bears mirror and amplify gold’s own major market cycles. Today’s secular gold bull began marching in mid-December 2015, birthed from choking despair. Gold stocks’ ...
