最新NewYorkFED　景気後退予想

「この記事が面白いと思うなら、Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう」

 米国債の金利差から一年後の景気後退入り可能性を推測したもの。
１９７０年代８０年代はFFRが１０％を超えていたために数値がとても大きくなっている。
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/capital_markets/Prob_Rec.pdf

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