A
large and fast-melting glacier in Greenland is growing again, according
to a new NASA study. The Jakobshavn (YA-cob-shawv-en) glacier on
Greenland's west coast had reportedly been retreating by around 1.8
miles and thinning by nearly 130 feet annually in 2012.
"At first we didn't believe it," said lead author Ala Khazendar who
works at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). "We had pretty much
assumed that Jakobshavn would just keep going on as it had over the last
20 years."
「最初は信じられなかった、」と筆頭著者のAla Khazendarは言う、彼はNASAジェット推進研究所で働いている。「我々はJakobshvenは過去20年と同じ傾向だと仮定していた。」 Jakobshavn glacier (photo: Google Earth)
Co-author Josh Willis said that while this is "good news" on a
temporary basis, it's still "bad news" over the long term because it
means that ocean temperatures are a larger factor in the growth and
melting of glaciers than previously thought.
"In the long run we’ll probably have to raise our predictions of sea
level rise again," says Willis, pointing to inevitable doom from
man-made global warming.
"That was kind of a surprise. We kind of got used to a runaway
system," said Jason Box, a Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland
ice and climate scientist who was not involved in the study.
Think of the ocean temperatures near Greenland like an escalator
that’s rising slowly from global warming, Khazendar said. But the
natural North Atlantic Oscillation sometimes is like jumping down a few
steps or jumping up a few steps. The water can get cooler and have
effects, but in the long run it is getting warmer and the melting will
be worse, he said.
Four outside scientists said the study and results make sense.
University of Washington ice scientist Ian Joughin, who wasn’t part
of the study and predicted such a change seven years ago, said it would
be a “grave mistake” to interpret the latest data as contradicting
climate change science.
この研究に参加していない4人の科学者はこれは意味のある発見だという。ワシントン大学の氷床研究者 Ian Joughin、彼はこの研究に参加していなかったが数年前にこのことを予想していた、彼が言うには 気候変動科学の矛盾をしめす「決定的な」最新データだという。
What’s happening, Joughin said, is “to a large extent, a temporary
blip. Downturns do occur in the stock market, but overall the long term
trajectory is up. This is really the same thing.” -AP
Of course, what will they say if and when the sun enters a Maunder Minimum in 2020? The last time there was a prolonged solar minimum, it lead to a mini ice-age which was scientifically known as the Maunder minimum SHTFplan.com's Mac Slavo wrote last November that sunspots have been absent for most of 2018 and Earth’s upper atmosphere is responding, says Phillips, the editor of spaceweather.com.
Data from NASA’s TIMED (Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics
and Dynamics) satellite shows that the thermosphere (the uppermost
layer of air around our planet) is cooling and shrinking, literally
decreasing the radius of the atmosphere. This reduction of solar
activity could result in a global cooling phase.
“The thermosphere always cools off during Solar Minimum.
It’s one of the most important ways the solar cycle affects our
planet,” said Mlynczak, according to The New American.
「ソーラーミニマムのときは地球熱圏はいつも寒冷化する。ソーラーサイクルが地球に与えるもっとも重要な効果だ、とThe New American誌による。
The new NASA findings are in line with studies released by UC-San Diego and Northumbria University in Great Britain last year, both of which predict a Grand Solar Minimum in coming decades due to low sunspot activity.
Both studies predicted sun activity similar to the Maunder Minimum of the mid-17th to early 18th centuries, which coincided to a time known as the Little Ice Age, during which temperatures were much lower than those of today.
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう この長文記事をRay Dalioが発表し、ゴールドは$1400から$1420へと急騰しました。GLD保持高に変化はないのでたぶん先物ポジションが進んでいます。 Ray Dalio Warns A "New Paradigm" Is Coming: "Buy Gold, Sell Stocks" by Tyler Durden Wed, 07/17/2019 - 14:44 Authored by Ray Dalio via LinkedIn, One of my investment principles is: 私の投資原則はこういうものだ: Identify the paradigm you’re in, examine if and how it is unsustainable, and visualize how the paradigm shift will transpire when that which is unsustainable stops. 現在のパラダイムを認識し、それがどの程度持続可能かどうか判断する、そしてパラダイムシフトがどのように起きるか、そしてその着地点を思い描く。 Over my roughly 50 years of being a global macro investor, I have observed there to be relatively long of periods (about 10 years) in which the markets and market relationships operate in a certain way (which I call “paradig...
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう Silver Outperforming Gold 2 Adam Hamilton July 26, 2019 3232 Words Silver has blasted higher in the last couple weeks, far outperforming gold. This is certainly noteworthy, as silver has stunk up the precious-metals joint for years. This deeply-out-of-favor metal may be embarking on a sea-change sentiment shift, finally returning to amplifying gold’s upside. Silver is not only radically undervalued relative to gold, but investors are aggressively buying. Silver’s upside potential is massive. ここ2週シルバーは急騰した、ゴールドを遥かに凌ぐものだ。これは注目すべきことだ、もう何年もシルバーはひどいものだった。この極端に嫌われた金属が大きく心理を買えている、とうとうゴールド上昇を増幅するに至った。シルバーは対ゴールドで極端に過小評価されているだけでなく、投資家は積極的に買い進んでいる。シルバーの潜在上昇力は巨大なものだ。 Silver’s performance in recent years has been brutally bad, repelling all but the most fanatical contrarians. Historically silver prices have been mostly ...
How Are Gold And Money Supply Related? by Tyler Durden Sun, 06/14/2020 - 13:00 Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, M2 Money Supply is surging. Will gold follow? M2マネーサプライが急増している。ゴールドはこれを追従するだろうか? Let's investigate an alleged relationship between gold and M2, a measure of money supply in the US. よく言われるM2(米国のマネーサプライ指標)とゴールドの関係について調べてみよう。 "There’s a clear correlation between the annual growth rate in M2 money supply and the price of the yellow metal. " 「M2の年率増加速度とゴールド価格の間には明らかな相関がある。」 Clear Correlation? 明らかな相関? The Tweet claims something different than my lead chart depicts. So let's investigate the above idea in other time frames. このツイートの主張は私が示す最初のチャートが示すものとは異なる。というわけでこのtweetの主張を別の時間フレームで見てみよう。 Gold vs Rate of Change in M2 Money Supply ゴールド vs M2マネーサプライの変化率 If we look at longer time frames, the rate of increase in M2 theory falls flat on its face....