We noted last
month that the company lost $690 million in the first six months of the
year and is expected to generate a loss from operations approaching $3
billion as it burns through tens of millions in cash daily. Analyst
estimate that the company could run out of money by mid-2020.
And now Bloomberg is reporting that WeWork's cash crunch is even more acute:
今日のブルームバーグの報告によるとWeWorkの資金枯渇はもっと差し迫るという：
Analysts had previously estimated that the company would run out of money by the middle of next year.
WeWork had been counting on an initial public offering -- and a $6
billion loan contingent on a successful IPO -- to meet its cash needs,
but that plan unraveled amid questions about its future profitability...
...it needs new financing before the end of November to avoid running out of money, two people familiar with the matter said.
・・・資金枯渇を回避するには１１月末までに新たな資金提供元が必要だ、二人の情報通が言う。
FT sources are now indicating that a potential lifeline, otherwise known as a bailout, could be imminent. FTの情報源は現在潜在的な救済元だ、ほかでもない緊急援助、これが差し迫っている。
The bailout of WeWork could be led by JPMorgan Chase and other Wall
Street banks. If no cash infusion by late November, WeWork could enter
into bankruptcy in 1H20, or by next summer.
Global credit rating agency Fitch Ratings downgraded WeWork's credit
rating last week by two notches to "CCC+," putting the SoftBank funded
office-sharing company very deep into junk territory.
"In the absence of an IPO and associated senior secured debt
raise, WeWork does not have sufficient funding to meet its growth plan," Fitch wrote in a note.
Last month's decision to abandon the IPO deprived the company of $3
to $4 billion in funding and $6 billion in a loan package investment
banks promised if it went public.
Since the IPO was pulled and valuations collapsed, WeWork's WE 7.875 01-MAY-2025 junk
bond was last trading at about 82 cents on the dollar (as of Friday 6
am est., according to Tradeweb data, a massive discount to face value,
which indicates doubts the company can repay its debts.
IPOがなくなり、格付けも崩壊し、WoWorkの WE 7.875 01-MAY-2025ジャンクボンドは直近で８２セントで売買されている、額面１ドル（東部時間金曜６am、Tradewebのデータだ、額面から大幅に値引きされている、ということは当社が債務を返済できないだろうと見られている。
Without new cash, WeWork is unsustainable; the company could start
liquidating its CRE exposure as it begins the inevitable pre-bankruptcy
shrinking process -- if no cash infusion next month.
"WeWork has raised more than $12 billion to rent office space that it
renovates and then leases to companies. But that strategy has left it
in a precarious position. It has some $47 billion of future rent payments due. On
average it leases its buildings for 15 years. Yet its tenants are
committed to paying only $4 billion, and on average have leases for 15
months."
「WeWorkは＄１２B以上の資金を投じてオフィススペース改装を行い企業に貸し出す。しかし その戦略は心もとないものだ。将来の賃貸料収入は＄４７B程度だ。平均してビルを１５年貸し出す。しかしながら、テナントが約束する支払いはわずか＄４Bだ、そして平均貸し出しは１５ヶ月に過ぎない。
With the equity market window shut, and credit markets starting to crack, something that we noted on Thursday, the next question is if WeWork gets a bailout next month.
If not, the WeWork implosion of 2020 could be a spectacular mess and a massive headache for SoftBank/Vision Fund and Wall Street banks - as the company crashes from $47 billion valuation to insolvent in 2 months...
最後の二段落だけ訳しておきます。 Stock Euphoria Stunts Gold Adam Hamilton April 19, 2019 3257 Words The great euphoria emanating from these near-record-high stock markets is breathtaking. Traders are again convinced stocks do nothing but rally indefinitely. That everything-is-awesome mindset has stunted gold’s latest upleg, since there’s no perceived need for prudently diversifying stock-heavy portfolios. But that psychology can change fast, as we saw a half-year ago. Gold investment roars back as stocks roll over. The word “euphoria” is widely misunderstood, often confused with “mania”. The latter is when stocks rocket vertically in blowoff tops, and is defined as “an excessively intense enthusiasm, interest, or desire”. The US stock markets certainly aren’t in a mania. At its latest high last Friday, the flagship US S&P 500 broad-market s...
