Silver futures have accelerated lower since losing $18...
シルバー先物は＄１８を下回ってから下落を加速している・・・。
And Gold futures plunge back below $1500...
そしてゴールド先物は＄１５００を下回っている・・・・
Gold is notably outperforming Silver...
ゴールドは顕著にシルバーを上回る・・・。
Source: Bloomberg
One glance at the last few years and the gold price action should not be a huge surprise...
ここ数年の値動きを見るとゴールド動向はそう驚くことではない・・・。
Source: Bloomberg
As of today, China will be on vacation for
its Golden Week National Holiday and this weakness appears to be traders
front-running the traditional chaos that the rest of the world plays
when China leaves the playing field.
China will be back in business on
October 9th, and that means the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which opened in
2015 to counter Western manipulation of precious metals, will likely
help re-balance prices to where they were before this recent takedown. １０月９日には中国の業務ももとに戻る、そして上海黄金交易所も再開する、この市場は２０１５年に始まり西洋の貴金属価格操作に対抗してきた、ここが再開すると国慶節前の価格を取り戻すだろう。
We could be wrong, but something tells us gold and silver prices won’t stay this low for much longer and that they could well see a complete turnaround when China reopens on October 9th.
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう Albert Edwards: This Was The Final Recessionary Shoe, And It Has Now Fallen by Tyler Durden Thu, 06/27/2019 - 12:45 Exactly three months ago, in late March, the 3 month-10 year spread inverted for the first time since 2007... ちょうど３か月前の３月遅くのことだ、３M10Yスプレッドが２００７年以来初めて反転した・・・・ ... an event which sparked near-panic in the market as historically curve inversion has preceded the last 7 recessions. ・・・市場は準混乱状態になった、というのも歴史的に見てイールドカーブ反転が過去７回の景気後退の前兆となっているからだ。 However, while the inversion was certainly a memorable event, the question on everyone's lips is how do risk assets perform once the curve flattens and/or inverts. According to backtests from Goldman, since the mid-1980s, significant stock drawdowns (i.e. market crashes) began only when term slope started steepening after being inverted. ...
Is The Stock Market As Confused As You Are About A Recession? Written by Lance Roberts | Apr, 1, 2019 Last week, Barron’s ran an article entitled “The Stock Market Is Just As Confused About A Potential Recession As You Are?” To wit: 先週バロンズにこういう記事が掲載された「株式市場は景気後退を予感させるほどに混乱しているだろうか？」見てみよう： “Investors have long used where we are in the economic cycle to decide which stocks to buy and sell. New research from Nomura’s Joseph Mezrich flips that on its head by showing how investors can use stock performance to help determine where we are in the cycle. Too bad the market is sending mixed messages right now.” 長らく投資家は現在景気サイクルのどこに居るかを見てこの株式を売るか買うかを判断してきた。野村證券のJoseph Mezrichの最近の研究では、これが逆さで、投資家は株式のパフォーマンスを見て今景気サイクルのどこにいるかを判断している。最悪なことに現在相場は悪化改善混在のメッセージを送っている。」 But let’s be clear here; no one wants the party to end. So, despite a struggling stock market over the last year, slowing economic growth, and a collapsing yield curve, there are s...
China Injects Gargantuan 1.1 Trillion In Liquidity This Week by Tyler Durden Wed, 01/16/2019 - 22:19 Following what Bloomberg calculated was a record net reverse repo liquidity injection on Wednesday, when the PBOC injected a whopping 560 billion yuan of liquidity into the financial system via open market operations, the Chinese central bank has done it again and in Thursday's open market operation, it sold 250BN yuan in 7 Day repos (slightly below yesterday's record 350BN), and 150BN in 28 Day repos, which net of maturities resulted in a whopping net 380BN yuan ($56.2BN) liquidity injection. ブルームバーグの算出によると水曜に記録的なリバースレポ流動性注入が行われた、PBOCがなんと公開市場操作で金融システムになんと５６０B人民元を注入した、中国中央銀行は再び木曜に公開市場操作を行った、２５０B人民元の７日決済レポを売却した（昨日の３５０B人民元よりも少し少ない）、そして２８日決済のレポを１５０B人民元注入した、結果としてなんと３８０B人民元（＄５６．２B)の流動性注入となる。 (訳注：なんか足し算すると辻褄が合いません、ブルーム...
And Gold futures plunge back below $1500...
