Fall armyworms (Spodoptera frugiperda) are a destructive garden pest that can destroy a variety of crops as well as grasses. ツマジロクサヨトウは農場ペストと呼ばれるほどに壊滅被害をもたらす、牧草とともに各種穀物を壊滅状態にする。
Chinese officials are worried about prevention and control measures of the pest might be failing, which could lead to crop losses this year.
Beijing warned fall armyworms could damage hundreds, if not thousands
of hectares of crops, leading to possible food security issues for the
country.
To counter the pest, China has requested farmers in the 21 provinces to use government-approved pesticides.
The "heart-devouring worm" - as locals call it - has spread
almost 1,900 miles north since migrating from neighboring Myanmar
earlier this year, now threatens 21 provinces and regions in China and
could heavily impact the country's grain output. 当地で「heart-devouring worm」と呼ばれるこの虫が、今年はじめに隣国ミャンマーから飛来しすでに1.900マイル北方まで広がった、今や中国の21の省で驚異となり、穀物収穫に深刻な被害が予想される。
In Yunnan, a province in southwestern China, the pest has already
destroyed 86,000 hectares of corn, sugarcane, sorghum, and ginger crops.
Fall armyworm started to spread through Africa and Asia in 2016,
these pests, which are moths, fly 60 miles per night, is very
challenging for farmers and governments to exterminate.
The pests have strained small farmers, who produce at least 90% of the country's crop.
このペストのために小規模農家に緊張が走っている、中国では穀物の90%は小規模農家が生産している。
In hard-hit Yunnan, the local government has installed 3,500
monitoring sites at farms to observe the pests and agriculture
conditions, the provincial agriculture bureau wrote to Reuters via
email.
Sugarcane farmer Yan in Mengkang village said the only answer to the fall armyworm disaster is to spray crops with pesticide.
Mengkang村のトウキビ農家 Yan はこう言う、ツマジロクサヨトウの災害に対する唯一の措置は殺虫剤を巻くことだ。
"You have to keep spraying chemicals. If you don't kill the worm, you will end up penniless," he said.
「たとえ害虫が死ななくとも、殺虫剤を巻き続けなければならない、結局一文無しになる、」と彼は言う。
Some farmers have had a slow response to act, thus jeopardizing their crop yields during harvest time.
対応の遅い農家もあり、収穫期の収量は危機にさらされている。
Hu Gao, a professor of insect ecology at Nanjing Agricultural
University, said the pests have ruined crops in the country's south, but
the outlook for corn production in the north wasn't affected as much.
南京農業大学の昆虫生態学教授 Hu Gaoが言うには、このペストは南部の穀物を壊滅状態にした、しかし北部のトウモロコシにはそれほど影響を受けていない。
As the destructive pest spread to agriculture provinces, this
could lead Beijing to purchase even more grains from Latin American
countries, like Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay. 農業地域へのこの壊滅的ペスト蔓延で、北京政府はさらなる穀物を南米諸国から輸入することになるだろう、ブラジル、アルゼンチン、パラグアイ等だ。
As of last week, China halted all agriculture purchases with the US
and continued ramping up agriculture imports from Latin America and the
rest of the world. The halt in purchases come in response to the Trump
administration's announcement 10% tariff on an additional $300 billion
of Chines imports earlier this month.
China is also dealing with an unprecedented outbreak of African swine
fever called “pig Ebola,” is ravaging the country's pig industry
through 2H19.
About a quarter of the country’s pig herd has been wiped out because of the disease.
中国はまた前代未聞のアフリカ豚コレラ大流行に見舞われている、「豚エボラ」とも呼ばれるこの病気のために養豚業は2019H2に荒廃するだろう。すでに全用途運数の1/4が殺処分された。
Due to trade war disputes, China slapped American pork with 62% tariffs. China's agriculture complex is being hit with several disasters,
that if it wasn't for the trade war, American farmers would be taking
full advantage of. But you never know, China could get so desperate,
because the last thing they need with Hong Kong spiraling out of control
is food inflation.
Class 8 Heavy Truck Orders Crash 68% in January by Tyler Durden Wed, 02/06/2019 - 17:25 Among the latest dismal news about the strength of the US economy, on Tuesday ACT Research released preliminary truck orders for January 2019 which showed that Class 8 truck orders collapsed an astounding 68% for January. The decline is being attributed to a 300,000+ vehicle backlog potentially prompting fleets to halt purchases in the near term. 米国経済に関し最近憂鬱なニュースが多い中で、火曜にACT researchが2019年1月のトラック発注を開示した、1月にClass 8のトラック発注がなんと68%も急落した。この発注減は短期的に300,000台超の潜在在庫を生み出す。 Specifically, in January Class 8 net orders were 15,800 units (14,700 SA; 176,400 SAAR), down 68% YoY and down 26% MoM. Class 5- 7 January net orders were 23,400...
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう Silver Outperforming Gold 2 Adam Hamilton July 26, 2019 3232 Words Silver has blasted higher in the last couple weeks, far outperforming gold. This is certainly noteworthy, as silver has stunk up the precious-metals joint for years. This deeply-out-of-favor metal may be embarking on a sea-change sentiment shift, finally returning to amplifying gold’s upside. Silver is not only radically undervalued relative to gold, but investors are aggressively buying. Silver’s upside potential is massive. ここ2週シルバーは急騰した、ゴールドを遥かに凌ぐものだ。これは注目すべきことだ、もう何年もシルバーはひどいものだった。この極端に嫌われた金属が大きく心理を買えている、とうとうゴールド上昇を増幅するに至った。シルバーは対ゴールドで極端に過小評価されているだけでなく、投資家は積極的に買い進んでいる。シルバーの潜在上昇力は巨大なものだ。 Silver’s performance in recent years has been brutally bad, repelling all but the most fanatical contrarians. Historically silver prices have been mostly ...
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう "On The Precipice" by Tyler Durden Mon, 06/24/2019 - 14:30 Authored by Kevin Ludolph via Crescat Capital, Dear Investors: The US stock market is retesting its all-time highs at record valuations yet again. We strongly believe it is poised to fail. The problem for bullish late-cycle momentum investors trying to play a breakout to new highs here is the oncoming freight train of deteriorating macro-economic conditions. 米国株式は記録的バリエーションのもとで再度過去最高を試している。私どもはこれが失敗すると強く信じている。景気拡大終盤で強気のモメンタム投資家が新高値を試そうとしていることの問題は、マクロ経済条件の悪化にある。 US corporate profit growth, year-over-year, for the S&P 500 already fully evaporated in the first quarter of 2019 and is heading toward outright decline for the full year based on earnings estimate revision trends. Note the alligator jaws divergence in the chart be...
中国が債務増加していることはたしかです。ただ日本の例を日銀資金循環報告でみると家計、320兆円、民間非金融機関1,785兆円、一般政府 1,284兆円となります。合算すると3,300兆円にもなり、GDPの600%を超えています。 https://www.boj.or.jp/statistics/sj/sjexp.pdf この記事の統計と同じ考え方で数値を採用しているのかどうか気になります。 加えて、この資金循環報告に書かれている海外資産というのが内数なのか外数なのか?私にはよくわかりません。当然海外債務も結構な額になります。一度日銀資金循環 図表1を見てください。詳しい方に教えていただければ。 この中国のたどる道は昔のソ連とかMMTと同様で、自国通貨ならいくら発行しても倒産はしない、というか為政者が痛みに耐えることができず緩和を続けるというものです。でも最終的には限界点に達します。ソ連は建国から崩壊まで70年かかりました。 自由主義経済なら立ち行かなくなった企業は退場してもらうというのが減速なのですが、これがうまくゆかないわけです。 でも日本は中国のはるか先を言っているように見えます。ちょっと検索したのですが、日本の債務に関しては政府債務に言及したものばかりで、この記事のように民間、個人まで総合的に記載しているのは日銀の資金循環統計しか見つけることができませんでした。 China Continues To Pile Debt On Top Of More Debt Written by Jesse Colombo | Feb, 27, 2019 Like many countries, China attempted to rein in its debt growth over the past couple years, but ultimately gave up and is now back to piling on even more debt. Bloomberg reports – 多くの国と同様に、中国もここ2年ほど債務増加を抑えようとしてきた、しかし結局の所諦めてしまい、今や更に債務を積み上げている。ブルームバーグ記事ーー For almost two years,...