Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com,
According to Peter Schiff, the chief global strategist at Euro Pacific Capital, it was a “huge mistake” for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates last month.
Peter Schiffに言わせると、彼はEuro Pacific Capitalの主任グローバルストラテジストだが、先月のFEDによる金利引下げは「大きな間違い」だった。
Schiff says there is no way for the Federal Reserve to stops the United States from going into a recession.
Schiffによれば、もはやFEDは米国景気後退を止めれない。
“They never should have taken rates to zero in 2008 and held them there for 7 years,”the veteran economic analyst told RT. “Zero
interest rates and quantitative easing have created problems in our
economy that will take generations to fix. However, the healing will
never get underway if the Fed goes right back to zero (which is where they are headed).”
According to Schiff, it’s impossible to build a viable economy on the
back of artificially low interest rates. “All it accomplishes it to
push up asset prices, creating bubbles and malinvestments that hurt the
economy. Relying on low interest rates for growth makes it certain that recessions will ensue when monetary policy tightens,” he added.
“the Fed is not causing the recession; they are just unable to delay it any longer.”
「FEDが景気後退のげんいんではない；彼らがもう先延ばしを出来ないということだ。」
Unfortunately, if interest rates are “allowed” to rise organically to
levels that reflect a healthy economy, the interest payments on
government debt will sink the government and that’s exactly why
President Donald Trump is desperate for artificially low interest rates.
Schiff has commented on a coming recession often, saying if it hits
before the 2020 election, Trump will have no chance of winning. Schiff
also said that “We’re Not Borrowing Ourselves Rich, We’re Borrowing Ourselves BROKE!” Meaning he sees a problem in the debt accumulation among the average American household. It
now takes a lot of debt to stay in the middle class, and the political
class isn’t setting a good example by being good with the money they
steal from everyone else. Schiffは何度もこれからの景気後退に言及する、２０２０年の選挙前に景気後退入りすると、トランプに勝ち目はないだろう。Schillはまたこういう、「我々は借金で豊かになるわけではない、借金で破綻しようとしている！」彼は平均的米国家計債務の問題を指摘している。いまや中産階級が多額の債務を抱えており、他人から奪った金で良い暮らしをするというのは、政治階級としてまともじゃない。
Schiff puts the GDP numbers into perspective, and considering the
debt load the U.S. economy is burdened with, the outlook isn’t all that
rosy. And of course, it’s not just government debt. Household debt is also at record levels and as Schiff says, “We’re not richer because of this economic growth.” SchiffはGDPの見通しにも言及する、債務負荷を考えると米国経済の返済日無で経済見通しはバラ色ではない。そして当然、それは政府債務だけではない。家計債務も記録的レベルに達して入る、とSchiffは言う、「この経済成長でも我々は豊かになっていない」。
“So, we had to add a lot more debt in 2018 to buy not as much growth
as a much smaller amount of debt in 2005. So, the takeaway from that is
this is unsustainable because the growth came at a heavy cost. We had to
increase the amount of debt that we had by a lot more than the
percentage that the economy grew.”
“If your debt is growing faster than your economy, then you’re not
getting richer. You’re getting poorer. You would have been better off
without the debt and without the growth … We’re borrowing ourselves into poverty. We’re not borrowing ourselves rich. We’re borrowing ourselves broke.“-Peter Schiff, via Seeking Alpha
「自らの収入よりも債務増加が多いなら、豊かになれるわけがない。貧しくなるだけだ。成長がなくとも借金がなければミンさんはもっと良い暮らしができるはずだ・・・我々は借金することで貧困化している。借金で豊かになっているわけではない。借金で破滅に向かっている。」Peter Schiff, via Seeking Alpha
The Next Decade Will Likely Foil Most Financial Plans by Tyler Durden Tuesday, Jan 26, 2021 - 15:20 Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, There are many individuals in the market today who have never been through an actual “bear market.” These events, while painful, are necessary to “reset the table” for outsized market returns in the future. Without such an event, it is highly likely the next decade will foil most financial plans. 現在の市場参加者の多くは本当の「ベアマーケット」を経験していない。こういう事が起きると、痛みを伴うが、将来の大きなリターンを可能にするために必要なちゃぶ台返しとなる。これがないと、多くのファイナンシャルプランは今後１０年ひどいことになりそうだ。 No. The March 2020 correction was not a bear market. As noted: ２０２０年３月の調整はベアマーケットと呼べるようなものではなかった。以前にも指摘したが： A bull market is when the price of the market is trending higher over a long-term period. ブル相場とは長期に渡り市場価格が上昇するものだ。 A bear market is when the previous advance breaks, and prices begin to trend lower. ベア相場とはこれまでの上昇が止まり、市場価格が下落し始めることだ。 The chart belo...
The Fed And The Treasury Have Now Merged by Tyler Durden Thu, 04/09/2020 - 14:21 Submitted by Jim Bianco of Bianco Research As I've argued, the Fed and the Treasury merged. Powell said this was the case today (from his Q&A): 私はこれまでも申し上げてきたが、すでにFEDと財務省は一体化している。Powell自身がこれに当たると今日話した（彼の Q&Aでのことだ）： These programs we are using, under the laws, we do these, as I mentioned in my remarks, with the consent of the Treasury Secretary and the fiscal backing from the congress through the Treasury. And we are doing it to provide credit to households, businesses, state and local governments. As we are directed by the Congress. We are using that fiscal backstop to absorb any losses we have. 我々FEDが今行っている一連のプログラムは、法に基づいており、それを実行している、私が注意喚起したが、 財務長官の同意を得ており、財政に関しては議会の承認も得ている。私どもは家計、ビジネス、連邦地方政府に貸付を行っている。議会の意向のもとに我々は行動している。以下ほどに損失が生じようともそれを財政的に支えている。 Our ability is limited...
What Could Go Wrong? The Fed's Warns On Corporate Debt by Tyler Durden Thu, 05/09/2019 - 11:44 Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “So, if the housing market isn’t going to affect the economy, and low interest rates are now a permanent fixture in our society, and there is NO risk in doing anything because we can financially engineer our way out it – then why are all these companies building up departments betting on what could be the biggest crash the world has ever seen? What is more evident is what isn’t being said. Banks aren’t saying “we are gearing up just in case something bad happens.” Quite the contrary – they are gearing up for WHEN it happens. When the turn does come, it will be unlike anything we have ever seen before. The scale of it could be considerable because of the size of some...
