Authored by Martin Armstrong via ArmstrongEconomics.com, To me, all this propaganda that humans are responsible for
climate change implies that somehow the climate is static and would not
be changing but for human activity. This may make great
headlines and inspire youth to create strikes and march upon the
institutions of capitalism demanding their closure. However, any
unbiased review of history reveals a shocking fact – the climate has ALWAYS changed and it too has been a force incorporated in the Economic Confidence Model. 私の理解では、気候変動の全責任は人類にあるというプロパガンダは、気候は一定で人類活動意外にこれを変えることはできないとしている。これはたしかに素晴らしい呼び物で若者をストライキに引き込みデモで資本主義を悪者にする。しかしながら、歴史を偏見なく振り返るとショッキングな事実が浮きあがるーー気候は常に変動しており、Economic Confidence Modelに大きく影響してきた。 Civilization has always expanded during warming periods and
collapsed during global cooling. Simply correlating historical weather
and disease reveals a very solid relationship. When there are
global cooling periods, this is when disease rises and the worst plagues
take place. When it turns cold, crops fail and malnutrition takes place
weakening people’s immune systems leaving them more susceptible to
plagues.
This global warming seems to have risen to a religion and it
is being used by the Communists/Socialists to kill the Industrial
Revolution and redistribute the wealth. Raising all the taxes in the world is ONLY pure PUNISHMENT –
there is no program to reverse climate change – no fantastic machine.
Anyone who was really a scientist just has to look at the historic data
on temperature and you will discover that civilization thrives when it gets warm, and it contracts when it gets cold. But above all else, it has ALWAYS changed.
In 61AD, Seneca the Younger (c. 4BC– 65AD) the philosopher,
statesman, and adviser to Emperor Nero who ordered him to commit
suicide, wrote about the pollution in Rome.
AD61に、Seneca the Younger(4BC-65AD)、思想家、政治家そしてNero皇帝のアドバイザー、彼に自殺を命じた、彼がローマの環境汚染についてこう書いた。
“No sooner had I left behind the oppressive atmosphere of
the city [Rome] and that reek of smoking cookers which pour out, along
with clouds of ashes, all the poisonous fumes they’ve accumulated in
their interiors whenever they’re started up, than I noticed the change
in my condition.”
Pollution has had its cycles as well but this entire Global Warming nonsense implies that it has ONLY been
post-Industrial Revolution that threatens the planet and we will all
die in 12 years according to AOC, our latest entertainer in Congress.
Low and behold, pollution became so bad that the capital city of the
Roman Empire, Constantinople, that the Emperor Justinian I (527-565AD) even enacted the first known Clean Air Act. 環境汚染問題は繰り返すが、今回の地球温暖化は全く馬鹿げている、産業革命後の人為活動だけがこの惑星の脅威であり、AOCによればあと12年で人類は絶滅するという、彼女は話題の議会の芸人だ。驚くことに、汚染が悪化し、ローマの首都コンスタンチノープルでは、皇帝Justinian I(527-565AD)が世界初の大気浄化法案を制定した。
In 535AD, then Emperor Justinian I proclaimed the importance of clean air as a birthright.
535ADには、皇帝Jusinian Iは大気浄化は生まれながらに持つ権利だと宣言した。
“By the law of nature these things are common to mankind - the air, running water, the sea.”
「自然の摂理として、これらの物事は人類に普遍的だーー大気、流れる水、そして海。」
There has always been pollution. When there are forest fires started
by lightning, they put off CO2. Volcanoes put out CO2. Plants and trees
need CO2 to survive. This is simply a divine mechanism of how the earth
functions.
汚染というのはどの時代にもあった。雷による森林火災では、CO2を排出する。火山もまたCO2を出す。植物や木は生きるためにCO2が必要だ。これらはどれも地球が如何に機能するかという神の摂理によるものだ。 The entire climate change issue has become a covert means in this final confrontation between the left and the right. This is the very issue that will destroy the Western Society
for it has been elevated to such heights and governments love it for
all they see is more power and money. The activists behind the curtain
are simply Marxists who are determined to make communism work one more
time.
中国が債務増加していることはたしかです。ただ日本の例を日銀資金循環報告でみると家計、320兆円、民間非金融機関1,785兆円、一般政府 1,284兆円となります。合算すると3,300兆円にもなり、GDPの600%を超えています。 https://www.boj.or.jp/statistics/sj/sjexp.pdf この記事の統計と同じ考え方で数値を採用しているのかどうか気になります。 加えて、この資金循環報告に書かれている海外資産というのが内数なのか外数なのか?私にはよくわかりません。当然海外債務も結構な額になります。一度日銀資金循環 図表1を見てください。詳しい方に教えていただければ。 この中国のたどる道は昔のソ連とかMMTと同様で、自国通貨ならいくら発行しても倒産はしない、というか為政者が痛みに耐えることができず緩和を続けるというものです。でも最終的には限界点に達します。ソ連は建国から崩壊まで70年かかりました。 自由主義経済なら立ち行かなくなった企業は退場してもらうというのが減速なのですが、これがうまくゆかないわけです。 でも日本は中国のはるか先を言っているように見えます。ちょっと検索したのですが、日本の債務に関しては政府債務に言及したものばかりで、この記事のように民間、個人まで総合的に記載しているのは日銀の資金循環統計しか見つけることができませんでした。 China Continues To Pile Debt On Top Of More Debt Written by Jesse Colombo | Feb, 27, 2019 Like many countries, China attempted to rein in its debt growth over the past couple years, but ultimately gave up and is now back to piling on even more debt. Bloomberg reports – 多くの国と同様に、中国もここ2年ほど債務増加を抑えようとしてきた、しかし結局の所諦めてしまい、今や更に債務を積み上げている。ブルームバーグ記事ーー For almost two years,...
Class 8 Heavy Truck Orders Crash 68% in January by Tyler Durden Wed, 02/06/2019 - 17:25 Among the latest dismal news about the strength of the US economy, on Tuesday ACT Research released preliminary truck orders for January 2019 which showed that Class 8 truck orders collapsed an astounding 68% for January. The decline is being attributed to a 300,000+ vehicle backlog potentially prompting fleets to halt purchases in the near term. 米国経済に関し最近憂鬱なニュースが多い中で、火曜にACT researchが2019年1月のトラック発注を開示した、1月にClass 8のトラック発注がなんと68%も急落した。この発注減は短期的に300,000台超の潜在在庫を生み出す。 Specifically, in January Class 8 net orders were 15,800 units (14,700 SA; 176,400 SAAR), down 68% YoY and down 26% MoM. Class 5- 7 January net orders were 23,400...
Amazonで買物をしてContrarianJを応援しよう "On The Precipice" by Tyler Durden Mon, 06/24/2019 - 14:30 Authored by Kevin Ludolph via Crescat Capital, Dear Investors: The US stock market is retesting its all-time highs at record valuations yet again. We strongly believe it is poised to fail. The problem for bullish late-cycle momentum investors trying to play a breakout to new highs here is the oncoming freight train of deteriorating macro-economic conditions. 米国株式は記録的バリエーションのもとで再度過去最高を試している。私どもはこれが失敗すると強く信じている。景気拡大終盤で強気のモメンタム投資家が新高値を試そうとしていることの問題は、マクロ経済条件の悪化にある。 US corporate profit growth, year-over-year, for the S&P 500 already fully evaporated in the first quarter of 2019 and is heading toward outright decline for the full year based on earnings estimate revision trends. Note the alligator jaws divergence in the chart be...
Powell Keeps The Bond Bull Kicking Written by Lance Roberts | Mar, 21, 2019 In a widely expected outcome, the Federal Reserve announced no change to the Fed funds rate but did leave open the possibility of a rate hike next year. Also, they committed to stopping “Quantitative Tightening (or Q.T.)” by the end of September. 多くの人が予想したとおり、FEDはFFR変更をしないだけでなく来年も不明とした。さらには、QTを9月末に終えると約束した。 The key language from yesterday’s announcement was: 昨日の発表の重要な部分はこういう具合だ: “ Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the labor market remains strong but that growth of economic activity has slowed from its solid rate in the fourth quarter . Payroll employment was little changed in February, but job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. 「1月のFOMC以来の情報を分析すると、労働市場は強いがQ4に比べると経済成長は鈍化している。2月の雇用環境にほとんど変化がなかった、ここ数ヶ月確実に雇用は増えている、そして失業率は低いままだ。 Recent indicators point to s...